Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | slaxx | 7-2 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12774470 |
| Izzet Prowess | marios tsopelas | 9-5 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | anders hasselblad | 9-5 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | taylor spain | 7-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | hareta kaizu | 7-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | pepeteam | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | toni portolan | 7-5 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | shun tanaka | 6-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | yuma koizumi | 6-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | ryo takahashi | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Boros Burn , Izzet Hellraiser , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Smoldering Egg ranks #1275 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 25%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Smoldering Egg is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 2
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 7.57 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Smoldering Egg has a win rate of 60.6%, making it 27.5% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saw It Coming | Instant | 9 | 69.0% | 1 |
| Seismic Wave | Instant | 5 | 66.4% | 1 |
| Introduction to Prophecy | Sorcery — Lesson | 5 | 65.9% | 0 |
| Start from Scratch | Sorcery — Lesson | 5 | 65.9% | 0 |
| Malevolent Hermit | Creature — Human Wizard | 24 | 63.1% | 3 |
| Hullbreaker Horror | Creature — Kraken Horror | 19 | 61.9% | 2 |
| The Celestus | Legendary Artifact | 10 | 61.7% | 2 |
| Prismari Command | Instant | 26 | 59.6% | 2 |
| Memory Deluge | Instant | 22 | 58.9% | 2 |
| Alrund's Epiphany | Sorcery | 25 | 58.8% | 1 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Smoldering Egg than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silundi Vision | Instant | 3 | 7 | 72.5% | 59.6% | +12.9% |
| Frost Bite | Snow Instant | 1 | 9 | 72.7% | 60.0% | +12.7% |
| Crush the Weak | Sorcery | 3 | 6 | 73.0% | 65.1% | +7.9% |
| Consider | Instant | 1 | 5 | 66.7% | 59.1% | +7.5% |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 1 | 7 | 65.6% | 58.2% | +7.5% |
| Thirst for Discovery | Instant | 3 | 8 | 69.0% | 61.5% | +7.4% |
| Malevolent Hermit | Creature — Human Wizard | 2 | 30 | 66.7% | 59.7% | +6.9% |
| The Celestus | Legendary Artifact | 3 | 26 | 67.1% | 60.4% | +6.7% |
| Saw It Coming | Instant | 3 | 15 | 66.7% | 59.9% | +6.7% |
| Heated Debate | Instant | 3 | 8 | 71.8% | 65.2% | +6.6% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 72 | 7.3% | 52.1% |
| Jeskai Oculus | 45 | 6.0% | 48.8% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 3 | 0.7% | 28.7% |
| Boros Burn | 1 | 0.2% | 25.0% |
| Izzet Hellraiser | 1 | 5.6% | 33.3% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.